FOMC meeting minutes

  • Official saw inflation pick up over next couple of years.
  • Several said inflation risk could be to the downside
  • Many saw sub 2% inflation for longer than expected.
  • Many expected B/S to only modestly tighten policy
  • Many Fed officials swa weak inflation due to idiosyncratic factors
  • Some officials concerned by weak inflation, argue for patience
  • Fed split on assessment if inflation expectations well anchored
  • Fiscal policy uncertainly damping investment
  • Rising stock prices has eased financial conditions
  • A fall in longer term inflation expectations would be undesirable.

The dollar is getting weaker after the meeting minutes. The EURUSD has moved to a new session high but only by 1 pips so far. The 100 and 200 hour MA at 1.1766 and 1.1767 converge and should be a key target above for the pair.

The USDJPY fell below the 100 bar MA on the 4-hour chart and will eye the 200 hour MA at 110.09. That level is also where the 38.2% of the move up from the August 11 comes in.