Forex news for Asia trading Tuesday 18 July 2017

An active day here in Asia with plenty of currency movement.

For two-way movement the kiwi took the prize. Q2 inflation data from New Zealand came in much lower than forecast:

NZD/USD was marked down immediately, losing 50+ points. It edged back a few ticks but then ... Next up was breaking news from the US, once again politics there taking centre stage with the confirmed death of the latest iteration of the Republican healthcare bill as two more senators refused to vote for the bill, meaning no majority for the Rs with this:

The USD began to gain on the news and it soon accelerated. EUR and yen were big gainers, but US dollar losses were not restricted to these two, currencies pretty much across the board rose.

Gains accelerated for the AUD upon the release of the RBA minutes for the July meeting. The Statement that accompanied the July 4 decision was notably neutral, but the minutes today were much more upbeat.

Not only did the release help the AUD, but NZD/USD gathered pace too, erasing its earlier losses and turning to a gain on the session (NZD is lower against the AUD though).

ps. Yields on US Treasuries are little changed despite the US politics news. If that remains the case it suggests currency retraces would not be too surprising (AUD might be an exception given its specific news).

Regional equities:

  • Nikkei -0.80%
  • Shanghai -0.62%
  • HK -0.14%
  • ASX -1.08% (RBA talking 3.5% neutral rate didn't helps the ASX much)